Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu Predictions, Tips and Odds for Wimbledon Day 5

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Credit: Adrian Scottow / Flickr (CC BY-SA 2.0). Pictured: Aryna Sabalenka

On Friday, July 4, Centre Court will erupt as World No.1 Aryna Sabalenka takes on Britain’s own Emma Raducanu in a blockbuster third-round showdown at the 2025 Wimbledon Championships. One is chasing the crown that has eluded her, the other is reliving the echoes of her Grand Slam breakthrough. The stakes are immense. The spotlight, blinding.

Here’s my Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu prediction and betting analysis for this matchup.

Sabalenka vs Raducanu Tips

Sabalenka vs Raducanu Odds

Result Odds
Aryna Sabalenka
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Emma Raducanu
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*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

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Sabalenka vs Raducanu Prediction: Centre Court Awaits a Modern Classic

This is the kind of clash Wimbledon dreams are made of — the reigning World No.1, relentless and roaring, against the nation’s hope, reborn under the Centre Court lights. Aryna Sabalenka arrives with the weight of expectation and the form to carry it. Her power game has cut through the draw so far, but Marie Bouzkova made sure her path to round three wasn’t a procession.

Sabalenka was pushed to the edge in the opening set, broken late and staring down a 5-6 deficit. But champions don’t flinch. She broke back, surged through a tie-break 7-4, and sealed a 7-6, 6-4 victory in under 100 minutes. Her numbers were as imposing as ever: 41 winners, just 18 unforced errors, and only one break point faced. A first-serve win rate of 94% underlines the suffocating pressure she applies. Sabalenka is now chasing a third fourth-round appearance — and beyond that, a third semifinal at SW19.

But standing in her way is Emma Raducanu — and the script could shift.

Raducanu, the 2021 US Open champion, just authored the upset of the tournament. She dismantled 2023 Wimbledon winner Marketa Vondrousova 6-3, 6-3 with poise and precision, refusing to be overawed. It was her best win in over a year — clinical, controlled, and brimming with belief. Raducanu landed 72% of her first serves, won 68% of those points, and broke the Czech four times. With no double faults and just five break points faced — four of them saved — she’s showing signs of her grandest self returning.

This will be only their second career meeting. Sabalenka won their first bout in Indian Wells last year in straight sets. But grass is a different beast. A surface where timing, nerve, and crowd can tilt the balance.

Centre Court will back Raducanu with full voice, and she will ride that wave. But Sabalenka’s engine — built for Grand Slam warfare — gives her the edge. This won’t be easy, but the Belarusian is built for these moments. 

Tip: Sabalenka to win 2-1 ( at Livesport24)

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