On Friday, July 4, Centre Court prepares for a battle of contrast and resilience as 14th seed Andrey Rublev faces off against French veteran Adrian Mannarino in the third round of the 2025 Wimbledon Championships. With both men grinding their way through early-round tests, this clash promises tension, precision, and moments of pure grass-court drama.
Here’s my Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino prediction and betting analysis for this matchup.
Rublev vs Mannarino Tips
- Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino: Rublev to win 3-1 ( at Livesport24)
Rublev vs Mannarino Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev |
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| Adrian Mannarino |
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*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Rublev vs Mannarino Prediction: Firepower Faces Finesse in a Test of Patience
Andrey Rublev returns to the Wimbledon third round with quiet determination and a growing sense of control. After a shock first-round exit last year, the Russian has stitched together two four-set wins that blend intensity with clarity. His opening-round victory over Laslo Djere featured a blistering start and three nerve-wracking tiebreaks. Then came a hard-earned triumph over Lloyd Harris, where Rublev absorbed 25 aces and still managed to dictate key moments.
Rublev’s numbers are commanding: 42 winners, 88% first-serve points won, and just four break points faced in nearly three hours of trench warfare. On grass, he's never looked more composed — now 3-1 on the surface this season, chasing a return to the fourth round for the third time in his career.
Adrian Mannarino, meanwhile, brings something altogether different to the table — rhythm-breaking subtlety and the muscle memory of a seasoned grass-court craftsman. With 10 wins already this swing, including three in Wimbledon qualifying, Mannarino has clawed his way back to the third round here for the first time since 2018. His four-set win over compatriot Valentin Royer was a masterclass in timing and grit, capped by an emphatic 7-1 tiebreak in the fourth.
The Frenchman’s flat strokes and understated pace frustrate more explosive opponents — a style that’s seen him reach the fourth round at Wimbledon three times before. He struck 45 winners and landed 87% of first-serve points in his previous match. If Rublev stumbles or rushes, Mannarino will pounce.
Their head-to-head reads 3-1 in Rublev’s favour, all three of the Russian’s wins coming in straight sets. But this is their first dance on grass — a surface that blurs margins and rewards the brave. Mannarino will make Rublev work for it, slice by slice, point by point.
Still, the Russian’s power game, backed by growing poise under pressure, should prove too much over five sets.
Tip: Rublev to win 3-1 ( at Livesport24)
