Real Madrid vs Benfica takes place at 22:00 GMT+3 on Wednesday at the Estadio Bernabeu in the Champions League play-off second leg.
The Spanish side hold a 1-0 lead from the first meeting and Real Madrid should win this return leg inside 90 minutes.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Real Madrid vs Benfica Tips
- Real Madrid vs Benfica: Real Madrid -1 @ with N/A
- Real Madrid vs Benfica: Kylian Mbappe To Score Anytime @ with N/A
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Real Madrid vs Benfica Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid |
|
| Draw |
|
| Benfica |
|
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Real Madrid vs Benfica Predictions
Real Madrid’s recent home margins point to a wider gap
Real Madrid have won five of their last six home matches by more than one goal. That run has repeatedly produced clear winning margins at the Bernabeu, with the goal difference moving beyond a single strike in five of those six fixtures.
The first leg in Lisbon finished 1-0 to Los Blancos, and the underlying numbers were tilted their way. They created four big chances at the Estadio da Luz, while Benfica failed to register one. That chance count sits firmly on the same side as the aggregate scoreline.
Benfica have lost two of their last three away Champions League games by more than one goal. Those defeats on the road in this competition have followed a similar pattern, with the margin stretching beyond a single goal in each case.
Real Madrid also closed their last home European outing with a 6-1 win over Monaco. That result underlines how quickly the score can widen in this stadium, even if a repeat of that scale is not required here.
The Lisbon meeting was marked by alleged racist abuse directed at Vinicius Junior, and Uefa have provisionally suspended Gianluca Prestianni for one game pending investigation. That backdrop adds extra focus to the return leg, but the measurable elements remain the aggregate lead and the recent home margins.
Five wins by more than one goal in the last six at the Bernabeu, combined with Benfica’s two recent multi-goal away defeats in this competition, align with Real Madrid -1 at 2.30.
Tip: Real Madrid -1 @ with N/A
Mbappe’s Champions League scoring run continues to build
Kylian Mbappe has scored eight goals in his last four Champions League matches. That sequence includes two goals against Benfica in January, adding a direct reference point against this opponent.
Eight goals across four European fixtures reflects a sustained scoring rate at this level. The frequency has remained consistent over that span, with multiple goals arriving in high-profile ties.
Real Madrid’s 1-0 first-leg advantage means they return home with control of the aggregate. Within that frame, attacking output from leading forwards often remains central, especially given the four big chances created in Lisbon.
Mbappe’s recent Champions League numbers stand out on their own. Two goals against Benfica in January and eight across his last four matches in the competition fit naturally with the anytime scorer line at 1.61.
Tip: Kylian Mbappe To Score Anytime @ with N/A
