Olympiacos host Bayer Leverkusen at 22:00 GMT+3 on 18 February in the Champions League knockout round.
After a 2-0 defeat to Olympiacos in Greece last month, Bayer Leverkusen will win this return leg.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen Tips
- Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen to Win ( at N/A)
- Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 ( at N/A)
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Olympiacos |
|
| Draw |
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
|
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Olympiacos vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
Leverkusen’s xG edge frames the rematch
January’s meeting in Greece ended 2-0 to Olympiacos, yet Bayer Leverkusen finished that night with 2.58 Expected Goals against 1.13. The Bundesliga side also limited the hosts to 28% possession and just six total shots, a clear territorial imbalance despite the scoreline.
That defeat came shortly after the winter break, when Leverkusen were still searching for rhythm. Since then, five wins from six matches mark a decisive shift, with results aligning more closely to their underlying numbers. The sequence of five victories in six fixtures reflects a team converting pressure into outcomes rather than leaving margins open.
Olympiacos reached this stage through two January wins, including that 2-0 success over Leverkusen. Yet even in that game, they spent long periods without the ball and produced only six attempts. Over a two-leg European tie, repeated spells without possession against the same opponent raise questions about sustainability.
Five wins in six matches for Leverkusen, combined with a 2.58 to 1.13 xG advantage in the previous head-to-head, sit naturally alongside an away victory at 3.00 in this return meeting.
Tip: Bayer Leverkusen to Win ( at N/A)
Finishing surge points to a higher-scoring away win
Recent output in front of goal defines Leverkusen’s current run. They have scored three or more goals in four of their last five matches, a sharp contrast to the finishing issues that marked the start of the calendar year.
The earlier 2-0 defeat in Greece came during that blunt spell, despite generating 2.58 Expected Goals. The volume of chances was already present; the conversion has since followed. Scoring three or more in four of five games shows a clear change in attacking return rather than a shift in approach.
Olympiacos, for their part, required two January wins to progress to this round and took a 2-0 result from the first meeting. However, allowing Leverkusen 2.58 xG, conceding 28% possession share and facing sustained pressure indicates the margin was shaped by efficiency at both ends rather than control.
Four games with at least three Leverkusen goals in the last five, paired with the earlier 2.58 xG in Greece, align directly with a 3-1 away win priced at 23.00.
Tip: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 ( at N/A)
