Monaco host PSG on Tuesday at 22:00 GMT+3 in this all-French Champions League knockout tie.
After a 1-0 home win over PSG earlier this season, Monaco avoid defeat again in this first leg.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Monaco vs PSG Tips
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Monaco vs PSG Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Monaco |
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| Draw |
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| PSG |
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*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Monaco vs PSG Predictions
Monaco home European run meets PSG away setbacks
Monaco beat PSG 1-0 at home in Ligue 1 earlier this season, and that recent head-to-head result sits alongside a wider pattern. Monaco have won three of their last five home meetings with PSG in all competitions. The fixture has repeatedly tilted their way on this ground.
In the League Phase of this season’s Champions League, Monaco were unbeaten at home. They beat Galatasaray and drew with Manchester City, Spurs and Juventus. That four-game sequence includes three draws and one win, and the record remained intact across different styles of opposition.
At the same time, PSG arrive off a 3-1 defeat at Rennes on Friday. That result cost them top spot in Ligue 1 and marked their third away league defeat of the campaign. They have already lost 1-0 at Marseille and 1-0 at Monaco in domestic away matches this season.
PSG also failed to win their two League Phase games last month, losing at Sporting Lisbon and drawing at home to Newcastle. In a first knockout leg against familiar opposition, those recent away defeats and dropped European points sit clearly against Monaco’s stable home line.
Monaco avoiding defeat at 2.37 reflects the combination of their 1-0 home win over PSG, three wins in five recent home meetings, and an unbeaten League Phase record at this venue.
Tip: Monaco Double Chance (Win or Draw) ( at N/A)
A repeat of narrow margins remains on the table
PSG’s away defeats in Ligue 1 this season have already followed a tight pattern. They lost 1-0 at Marseille and 1-0 at Monaco, both decided by a single goal. Their most recent Champions League trip also ended in defeat, going down in Lisbon against Sporting.
There was also a 1-0 defeat in the French Cup last month. Across competitions, that scoreline has surfaced more than once in PSG losses. The margin has stayed narrow, even when results have turned against them.
Monaco, meanwhile, kept clean sheets in their last three home European games. In the League Phase at home they conceded no goals across those fixtures, including the win over Galatasaray and draws with Manchester City, Spurs and Juventus. Defensively, the numbers at this stadium have held firm.
Domestically, Monaco have put together a four-game unbeaten run in Ligue 1. That steady stretch, combined with their earlier 1-0 win over PSG, keeps the single-goal home success within the established range of recent results between these sides.
Monaco 1-0 at 21.00 aligns with PSG’s sequence of 1-0 away defeats and Monaco’s three consecutive home European clean sheets.
Tip: Monaco 1-0 ( at N/A)
