Lazio host AC Milan at Stadio Olimpico on Sunday at 21:45 (GMT+3) in a Serie A fixture in the Italian top flight.
Milan’s 1-0 derby victory over Inter last week cut the gap at the top to seven points and another win here could keep their title hopes alive.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Lazio vs AC Milan Tips
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Lazio vs AC Milan Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lazio |
|
| Draw |
|
| AC Milan |
|
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction
Milan’s unbeaten away run sets the tone in Rome
AC Milan remain the only team in Serie A without an away defeat this season. Their 14 league trips have produced nine wins and five draws.
That sequence includes difficult visits against Juventus, Atalanta and Roma. Milan also avoided defeat in the designated away derby against Inter, completing the league double over the current leaders.
Last week’s 1-0 derby win over Inter also tightened the title picture slightly. The gap at the top now stands at seven points, which keeps the race mathematically open at this stage of the season.
This away consistency has been a defining feature of Massimiliano Allegri’s side. Fourteen road matches without defeat create a stable baseline, especially against a Lazio team with only three wins in their last 13 Serie A games.
Lazio did win their most recent outing at Stadio Olimpico, beating Sassuolo 2-1. That result arrived late, with Adam Marusic scoring deep into second-half stoppage time after a goalkeeping error.
However, the broader sequence remains difficult. Three wins from the last 13 league fixtures reflect a long stretch of inconsistent results.
Milan’s unbeaten away record across 14 Serie A trips and Lazio’s run of three wins in 13 league matches leave the visitors well placed to take the points in Rome at odds of 1.90.
Tip: AC Milan to Win @ with N/A
Recent score patterns point toward a narrow Milan edge
AC Milan have scored exactly two goals in each of their last two away matches. Those games came against Pisa and Cremonese.
The Pisa trip ended in a 2-1 victory for the Rossoneri. That result sits within a small sequence where Milan have consistently found the net twice on the road.
Meanwhile, Lazio’s recent defensive numbers at home have followed a different pattern. Across their last six Serie A matches at Stadio Olimpico, they have conceded an average of two goals per game.
That home record stretches back several rounds and suggests visiting teams are regularly finding clear scoring opportunities in Rome.
The Sassuolo match also followed that trend, with Lazio conceding before eventually winning 2-1. It was only their second home league win since November.
A Milan side that has recently scored two goals in consecutive away fixtures meets a Lazio defence conceding roughly two per home match across six games.
A 2-1 away win for AC Milan fits the recent scoring ranges around both teams and is available at odds of 9.0.
Tip: AC Milan 2-1 @ with N/A
Lazio vs AC Milan Projected Starting Lineups
Lazio
Motta, Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Tavares, Dele-Bashiru, Cataldi, Taylor, Isaksen, Maldini, Zaccagni.
AC Milan
Maignan, Tomori, De Winter, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Ricci, Estupinan, Leao, Pulisic.
