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Chelsea vs Manchester City Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

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Saturday, 16 May.
17:00 GMT+3

Chelsea and Manchester City meet at Wembley on Saturday at 17:00 (GMT+3) in the FA Cup final.

Manchester City carry a nine-game unbeaten run into this final and it is difficult to see Chelsea stopping them.

Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.

Chelsea vs Manchester City Tips

  • Chelsea vs Manchester City: Manchester City to Win @ with N/A
  • Chelsea vs Manchester City: Erling Haaland To Score Anytime @ with N/A

*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Chelsea vs Manchester City Odds

Result Odds
Chelsea
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Draw
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Manchester City
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*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

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Chelsea vs Manchester City Predictions

Three straight finals bring a different kind of pressure

Manchester City are playing in a fourth consecutive FA Cup final and the recent record is unusual. Pep Guardiola’s side lost the last two finals, while only one club has previously lost three in a row in this competition and that club was Chelsea between 2020 and 2022.

The wider domestic story still matters. City remain in the hunt for a domestic treble and already lifted silverware at Wembley this season after beating Arsenal in the EFL Cup final. A second cup success at the same venue keeps that sequence alive.

Wednesday brought another controlled result with a 3-0 win over Crystal Palace. That extended City’s unbeaten run across all competitions to nine matches, with eight victories in that spell. The scoreline also continued a recent pattern, with City scoring exactly three goals in each of their last three games.

Chelsea bring a different run into the final. The Stamford Bridge side have lost four of their last six matches and recorded only one win in that stretch. They have scored once in each of three games under Calum McFarlane since Liam Rosenior’s dismissal, but the broader record against City remains difficult to ignore.

Chelsea have failed to beat Manchester City in the last 13 meetings and lost 10 of those games. The most recent league meeting ended 3-0 to City at Stamford Bridge only last month.

Yet finals can tighten games for periods. Even so, one team carries a long unbeaten run, repeated three-goal returns and a stronger recent head-to-head sequence. Backing Manchester City to win seems a safe strategy at 1.68.

Tip: Manchester City to Win @ with N/A

Haaland’s recent starts continue to end the same way

Erling Haaland is the clear player angle before kick-off and his minutes in midweek stand out immediately. The Norwegian remained on the bench against Crystal Palace, leaving him fresh for Wembley.

His individual numbers are direct. Haaland has scored in each of his last four starts across competitions. In the FA Cup specifically, he struck a hat-trick against Liverpool in the quarter-finals and that remains the strongest personal reference point in this run.

City have produced three goals in each of their last three matches, although team scoring trends only sit in the background here. The key detail is Haaland’s frequency when starting. Goals have arrived repeatedly and the sequence has not broken over his last four appearances from the opening whistle.

There is another small layer around the final itself. Manchester City are trying to avoid a third straight FA Cup final defeat, and experienced attackers tend to carry more responsibility in these occasions. Haaland’s role does not change.

Still, Chelsea have scored in all three matches under Calum McFarlane and that keeps the game active without shifting the focus away from the striker market. Four scoring starts in a row and a recent FA Cup hat-trick make an anytime effort by Haaland hard to ignore at 1.57.

Tip: Erling Haaland To Score Anytime @ with N/A

Chelsea vs Manchester City Projected Starting Lineups

Chelsea

Jorgensen, James, Colwill, Hato, Chalobah, Santos, Caicedo, Cucurella, Fernandez, Palmer, Pedro.

Manchester City

Donnarumma, O’Reilly, Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, Silva, Gonzalez, Cherki, Semenyo, Doku, Haaland.

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