Chelsea vs Leeds takes place at 17:00 (GMT+3) at Stamford Bridge in this FA Cup semi-final.
Chelsea’s six blanks in their last seven games keep the attacking focus sharp and goals at both ends are hard to ignore here.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Chelsea vs Leeds Tips
- Chelsea vs Leeds: Both Teams To Score @ with N/A
- Chelsea vs Leeds: Noah Okafor To Score Anytime @ with N/A
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Chelsea vs Leeds Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chelsea |
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| Draw |
|
| Leeds |
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*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Chelsea vs Leeds Predictions
Open scoring trends meet a fragile attacking run
Chelsea’s first game under Calum McFarlane in January ended 1-1 at Manchester City, where they created 1.85 xG and three big chances. That output came against a top opponent and sits in contrast to a later run of six blanks in seven games, including five straight Premier League defeats to nil, with the only goal in that spell coming against League Two-bound Port Vale.
Leeds bring a different scoring rhythm into this semi-final. Daniel Farke’s side have hit at least twice in each of their last four matches, and the only clean sheet in that stretch came against a relegated Wolves team. Across the two league meetings this season, the sides have combined for eight goals, including a 3-1 win for Leeds in December and a 2-2 draw in February after Chelsea let a 2-0 lead slip.
There is also a recent attacking reference point for Chelsea under McFarlane, even if it stands alone. That 1-1 at the Etihad showed chance creation at a level not seen in their current run. Still, Leeds’ seven-game unbeaten stretch and consistent scoring across that sequence keep the game open in shape.
Given Leeds have scored at least twice in four straight matches and Chelsea have already produced 1.85 xG in McFarlane’s only game in charge, both teams to score makes plenty of appeal at 1.75.
Tip: Both Teams To Score @ with N/A
Okafor’s scoring run leads the Leeds line
Noah Okafor is the clear focal point in the player market after scoring three goals in his last three appearances. He also found the net in the February meeting with Chelsea, placing him directly in this fixture’s recent scoring pattern.
His role at the top end of the pitch remains stable, with support from Dominic Calvert-Lewin, and Leeds’ current scoring run adds a steady baseline. Four consecutive games with at least two goals underline the volume around him, even without stretching into wider match scenarios.
Chelsea’s defensive record across recent Premier League matches includes five straight defeats to nil, but that sequence sits alongside the earlier McFarlane game where chances conceded were balanced by Chelsea’s own attacking output. The line reflects both the player’s current strike rate and the shared scoring history between the sides.
Three goals in three games and a previous goal in this matchup keep Okafor firmly in the scoring frame, and he is worth a bet at 6.00.
Tip: Noah Okafor To Score Anytime @ with N/A
Chelsea vs Leeds Projected Starting Lineups
Chelsea
Sanchez, Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Hato, Cucurella, Neto, Lavia, Caicedo, Fernandez, Delap.
Leeds
Darlow, Justin, Bijol, Stuijk, Bogle, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson, Aaronson, Okafor, Calvert-Lewin.
