Atalanta host Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday at 19:45 GMT+3 in this Champions League second leg.
Atalanta have won 10 of their 12 home matches under Raffaele Palladino and that record points toward a home victory to overturn the 2-0 first-leg deficit.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Tips
- Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund: Atalanta to Win ( at N/A)
- Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund: Gianluca Scamacca to Score Anytime ( at N/A)
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Atalanta |
|
| Draw |
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
|
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions
Atalanta’s home run under Palladino sets the tone
Atalanta return home after a 2-0 defeat in last week’s first leg, a scoreline that leaves them needing a strong response in Bergamo. Since Raffaele Palladino took charge in November, La Dea have won 10 of their 12 home matches in all competitions. That sequence includes a Champions League home win over Chelsea and has built a clear pattern at this ground.
The recent numbers add weight. Sunday’s 2-1 victory over Italian champions Napoli made it four straight home wins, while a 3-0 success against Juventus earlier this month underlined the level they can reach. Across all competitions, Atalanta have scored at least twice in each of their last six home games, and that scoring frequency has not dipped during this run.
Dortmund arrive after a dramatic 2-2 draw at RB Leipzig, where a 95th-minute equaliser spared defeat. Their only away win in Europe this season came at FC Copenhagen, and they face Bayern Munich on Saturday in the Bundesliga. The visitors would still progress even with a narrow defeat here, but the away record in this competition and the timing in the calendar place the focus on resilience rather than control.
Ten wins from twelve at home under Palladino, four consecutive home victories and six straight home games with at least two goals align with a 2.10 quote for Atalanta to win the second leg.
Tip: Atalanta to Win ( at N/A)
Scamacca’s home scoring streak carries weight
Gianluca Scamacca has scored in Atalanta’s last two home games in the Champions League. The Italian forward has also found the net in each of his last three home starts for La Dea, a run that highlights his role as the focal point in Bergamo.
Those goals have come within a broader spell where Atalanta have scored twice in six consecutive home matches. Scamacca’s recent home record sits inside that trend, and his starting status at this ground has translated directly into goals. The frequency is clear, three goals in his last three home starts, and it has repeated in European competition as well.
Dortmund’s schedule includes the 2-2 draw at RB Leipzig at the weekend and a meeting with Bayern Munich on Saturday, but for this market the key detail remains Scamacca’s individual return at home rather than the wider fixture list.
Goals in his last two Champions League home games and in three successive home starts for Atalanta support the 2.25 price on Gianluca Scamacca to score anytime.
Tip: Gianluca Scamacca to Score Anytime ( at N/A)
