Aston Villa host Everton on Sunday at Villa Park, with kick-off scheduled for 18:30 GMT+3 in the Premier League.
Given Villa’s eleven-game winning run at this venue across all competitions, a home victory with a clear margin is required.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Aston Villa vs Everton Tips
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Aston Villa vs Everton Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Aston Villa |
|
| Draw |
|
| Everton |
|
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Aston Villa vs Everton Predictions
Villa Park remains a decisive factor
Aston Villa have won 11 consecutive home games across all competitions, a sequence that continues to define their campaign at Villa Park. This run includes six matches in their last seven here in which they scored more than one goal, underlining a consistent attacking return on home soil. The pattern has been stable across competitions and opponents, with no signs of a slowdown during this stretch.
That home strength contrasts with Villa’s recent dropped points, which all came away from Birmingham. A return of four points from the last three league games has left them six points behind leaders Arsenal, but the venue continues to act as a reset point. At Villa Park, the results have remained intact, and the winning sequence has not been interrupted.
Everton’s recent numbers sit on a different line. They have just one win in their last seven matches in all competitions, alongside three defeats in that span. Recent league trips have been especially punishing, with losses by two-goal margins against Chelsea and Brentford. That scoring gap matters in the context of a handicap line, as it mirrors the type of margins Villa have produced here.
Those combined trends explain why a -1 handicap sits naturally with the market. Villa’s repeated multi-goal home wins align with Everton’s tendency to fall short by clear margins on the road, without requiring an extreme scoreline.
Tip: Aston Villa -1 ( at N/A)
A familiar two-goal pattern in the scoreline
Aston Villa have conceded in each of their last three home games, a small but consistent defensive note that shapes the correct score discussion. Even so, no visiting side has scored more than once at Villa Park this season in any competition. The concession has tended to stop at a single goal, keeping games within a controlled scoring range.
Everton’s away defeats add another layer. Each of their last three losses on the road ended with a two-goal margin, reinforcing a repeated outcome rather than an isolated result. That pattern fits neatly with Villa’s home profile, where wins are often comfortable but not excessive.
There is also a personal scoring angle within that structure. Ollie Watkins has scored four goals in his last four Premier League appearances, signalling a return to form after a slower start to the campaign. He was used sparingly in the FA Cup last time out, which keeps his league output as the relevant reference point here.
Taken together, the recurring two-goal margins, Everton’s limited away scoring ceiling, and Villa’s habit of conceding once but no more all point toward a narrow but clear home win. A 3-1 scoreline sits comfortably inside those boundaries and reflects the way both teams’ recent results have been shaped.
Tip: Aston Villa 3-1 ( at N/A)
Aston Villa vs Everton Projected Starting Lineups
Aston Villa
Bizot, Cash, Maatsen, Lindelof, Konsa, Tielemans, Bogarde, McGinn, Buendia, Rogers, Watkins.
Everton
Pickford, Patterson, Mykolenko, O’Brien, Tarkowski, Dewsbury-Hall, Garner, Dibling, Grealish, McNeil, Barry.
