Arsenal host Bayer Leverkusen at The Emirates on Tuesday at 22:00 (GMT+3) in the Champions League knockout stage.
Arsenal lost only one of their last 33 home UEFA competition matches and that run suggests Mikel Arteta’s side should move closer to another quarter-final.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Tips
- Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen: Arsenal to Win and Over 2.5 Match Goals @ with N/A
- Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen: Arsenal 3-1 @ with N/A
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal |
|
| Draw |
|
| Leverkusen |
|
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Free Bets and Offers
No promotions available for your location at the moment.
Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
Arsenal’s European scoring run at The Emirates
Arsenal’s recent Champions League record at The Emirates shows a clear scoring pattern. The Gunners have scored at least three goals in six of their last nine home matches in the competition.
The first leg in Germany ended 1-1 after an 89th-minute penalty from Kai Havertz rescued the draw. Arsenal still produced an expected goals figure of 1.64 in that match and had opportunities to score earlier in the evening.
Domestic matches have sometimes followed a more restrained rhythm, but European nights at The Emirates often open up. Arsenal are also aiming to reach the Champions League quarter-finals for the third consecutive season, and their long home record in UEFA competition adds weight to that push. Only one defeat appears across the last 33 such games, alongside 16 wins and five draws.
Leverkusen bring their own resilient profile. Kasper Hjulmand’s side have not conceded from open play in four Champions League matches, yet recent results show frequent scoring exchanges. Both teams scored in four of Leverkusen’s last five games and four of those fixtures finished level.
There was another example at the weekend. Leverkusen led 1-0 against Bayern Munich after Bayern were reduced to ten men, yet the match still ended level even though Bayern finished with nine players.
Leverkusen have also won four of their five previous knockout ties against English opponents in European competition. At the same time, Arsenal’s strong scoring record at home in the Champions League keeps the total line active.
A home win combined with over 2.5 goals fits that mix of attacking output and recent scoring patterns.
Tip: Arsenal to Win and Over 2.5 Match Goals @ with N/A
Recurring 3-1 scorelines in Arsenal’s home rhythm
Several recent trends around Arsenal’s home matches point toward a multi-goal winning margin rather than a narrow result. The Gunners have reached three goals in six of their last nine Champions League home fixtures.
Leverkusen’s recent match results also support the idea of goals at both ends. Four of their last five matches featured both teams scoring, and four of those games finished level before the final whistle separated the sides.
The first leg already showed that Leverkusen can threaten Arsenal from set pieces. Robert Andrich scored in the 46th minute of that game, and timing patterns remain notable. Leverkusen have scored five goals in the 15 minutes immediately after half-time, a higher figure than across all their opening halves combined.
Arsenal’s attacking options on the flanks also remain influential at The Emirates. Gabriel Martinelli has scored in each of Arsenal’s previous four Champions League home matches this season. The Brazilian started on the bench in Saturday’s Premier League meeting with Everton, entered for the final 30 minutes, and set up Max Dowman for the decisive second goal.
Earlier in the competition Martinelli also opened the scoring against Olympiakos, adding to a sequence that regularly produces goals in front of the home crowd.
Arsenal’s ability to reach three goals at home and Leverkusen’s recent sequence of matches with both sides scoring leaves a structured multi-goal scoreline within reach. A 3-1 Arsenal win sits naturally within those scoring frequencies and appears on the market at 11.0.
Tip: Arsenal 3-1 @ with N/A
