Sevilla host Atletico Madrid at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan on Saturday, August 29, with their La Liga fixture kicking off at 22:30 GMT+3.
Atletico have won three of the last four meetings and should add another narrow success in Seville.
Below is the full match preview, predictions and betting analysis.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Tips
- Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid to Win @ with N/A
- Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: Atletico Madrid 2-1 @ with N/A
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Odds
| Result | Odds |
|---|---|
| Sevilla |
|
| Draw |
|
| Atletico Madrid |
|
*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Predictions
Sevilla’s early wins face a tougher examination
Sevilla have opened La Liga with a 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano and a 3-1 victory at Athletic Bilbao. Those results also form part of a run of five wins in their last seven games.
Their first two league victories have carried some notable qualifications. Both goals against Rayo came from penalties, including a 97th-minute winner, while Sevilla produced only 0.65 expected goals outside those spot-kicks.
Athletic Bilbao then had a player sent off in the 11th minute of Sevilla’s second match. Even with ten men for 79 minutes, Bilbao won the expected-goals count 1.37-1.26.
Atletico have taken four points from their opening two fixtures, beating promoted Malaga 2-0 before drawing 2-2 with Villarreal. Villarreal scored both of their goals from penalties.
There is also a recent head-to-head edge for Diego Simeone’s team, who have won three of the last four meetings. Sevilla needed two penalties against Rayo and played most of the Bilbao game against ten men, so I’m backing Atletico Madrid to Win at 2.10.
Morten Hjulmand, Alex Grimaldo, Kang-In Lee and Cristian Romero have strengthened Simeone’s squad, which also has the depth to cope if Julian Alvarez moves on.
Tip: Atletico Madrid to Win @ with N/A
Atletico’s defensive numbers leave room for a 2-1 scoreline
Atletico Madrid conceded 3.60 expected goals in their 2-2 draw with Villarreal, although a large share of that figure came from the two penalties awarded to the Yellow Submarine.
Sevilla have already scored twice against Rayo Vallecano and three times at Athletic Bilbao. Across the first four La Liga matches involving these teams, Sevilla and Atletico have conceded a combined seven expected goals.
The result side of the scoreline has recent backing from the fixture itself. Atletico have beaten Sevilla in three of the last four meetings, while their current league campaign began with a 2-0 victory over Malaga before the Villarreal draw.
Sevilla scoring in both of their opening matches adds the required goal threat without changing the expected winner. Atletico’s three victories in the last four head-to-heads are another useful marker, and I like the odds on Atletico Madrid 2-1 at 9.00.
Tip: Atletico Madrid 2-1 @ with N/A
