Aston Villa vs Newcastle Predictions, Betting Tips and Odds

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Credit: Aston Villa F.C. Pictured: Jacob Ramsey
Saturday, 16 Aug.
14:30 GMT+2

Aston Villa host Newcastle United at Villa Park on Saturday at 14:30 (GMT+3), with both sides looking to set the tone for a campaign where European qualification is again the target. Villa arrive in strong shape after last season’s top-five push, while Newcastle open under the cloud of transfer noise and the absence of their main striker.

Here’s my Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction and betting analysis.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Tips

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Odds

Result Odds
Aston Villa
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Draw
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Newcastle
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*Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Predictions

Villa’s home rhythm sets the tone

Villa closed last season with momentum that’s hard to ignore. Unai Emery’s side signed off with eight straight home wins in all competitions, a run that included a 3-2 victory over eventual Champions League winners PSG and a 4-1 dismantling of Newcastle at this same venue. That sequence underlines how comfortable they’ve become in front of their own supporters.

Even without Emiliano Martínez, the hosts look settled. Marco Bizot steps in as a reliable deputy, while new arrival Evann Guessand adds depth to an already sharp attacking unit. Morgan Rogers has returned to training, and Ollie Watkins looks ready to carry his scoring form into competitive action after netting four goals in pre-season.

The continuity in Emery’s squad provides structural stability, and Villa’s ability to sustain tempo at home makes them favourites to edge this contest.

Tip: Aston Villa to Win ( at Livesport24)

Newcastle unsettled without Isak

The situation around Alexander Isak casts a long shadow. The Swede, who topped Newcastle’s scoring charts last season, has pushed for an exit and will not feature here. The stats tell the story: Newcastle’s win rate last term was 61% with Isak in the team, but only 43% without him. Eddie Howe may turn to Anthony Gordon in a central role, yet the lack of rhythm in pre-season — one win from seven games — raises concerns.

Newcastle remain disciplined defensively, conceding 47 goals across the Premier League campaign, and that could keep the game tighter than April’s 4-1 defeat suggested. They’ve also managed to score in their last two visits to Villa Park, so a breakthrough is still plausible. But the absence of their key forward inevitably reduces their edge in decisive moments.

Tip: Aston Villa & Both Teams To Score ( at Livesport24)

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